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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Francisco Trinaldo won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1490

Elo1496

Delson HelenovsFrancisco TrinaldoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · Saturday, June 23, 2012Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil

Official fight result

Francisco Trinaldo won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:21

Model Prediction: Delson Heleno wins(51.5%)

Actual result: Francisco Trinaldo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Delson Heleno at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Francisco Trinaldo has 41pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Francisco Trinaldo has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Francisco Trinaldo (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Delson Heleno

Red Corner

Francisco Trinaldo

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1490

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'9"

183 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Delson HelenoNo prior UFC fights on record.

Francisco Trinaldo

oldest →

KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20

vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21

vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21

vs Danny Roberts · May 22

vs Randy Brown · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Delson HelenoMetricFrancisco Trinaldo

0.69

Strikes / min

3.13

4.83

Strikes absorbed / min

2.67

19%

Strike defense

60%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.98

Takedown defense

60%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-4.14Δ 4.60 — meaningful gap+0.46

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Delson Heleno(1 fights)Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -6.3|Blue +6.3

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Delson HelenoTargetFrancisco Trinaldo

By target zone

50% acc · 33%

Head

69% acc · 43%

100% acc · 33%

Body

92% acc · 57%

100% acc · 33%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 33%

Distance

67% acc · 10%

100% acc · 67%

Clinch

100% acc · 38%

Ground

73% acc · 52%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Delson Heleno rounds

even

Francisco Trinaldo rounds

Round 1Francisco Trinaldo edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control1:07

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:10Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

3 / 4

Sig Strikes

21 / 26

75%

Sig Str %

80%

4 / 5

Total Strikes

41 / 47

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:07

Ctrl Time

1:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Francisco Trinaldo	21 / 26	41 / 47	0 / 0	0
1	Delson Heleno	3 / 4	4 / 5	0 / 4	0

Delson Heleno

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach—

Fights1

Francisco Trinaldo

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights26