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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Deiveson Figueiredo won · S-DEC R3

Elo1483

Elo1499

Deiveson FigueiredovsMontel JacksonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · Saturday, October 11, 2025Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Deiveson Figueiredo won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grapplervsMontel Jackson: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo wins(53.1%)

Actual result: Deiveson Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Deiveson Figueiredo at +265 American odds

+$265 profit

$365 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Deiveson Figueiredo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Montel Jackson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Montel Jackson (53.5%).
Montel Jackson has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Deiveson Figueiredo

Red Corner

Montel Jackson

Blue Corner

+265

(27%)

Vegas Odds

-330

(77%)

1483

Elo

1499

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'5"

Height

5'10"

172.72 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Deiveson FigueiredoL4 streak

oldest →

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 24

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Montel Jackson

oldest →

vs Julio Arce · Nov 22

KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 23

KOvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 24

vs Daniel Marcos · May 25

DECvs Raoni Barcelos · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Deiveson FigueiredoMetricMontel Jackson

2.63

Strikes / min

3.02

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

1.40

49%

Strike defense

60%

1.61

TDs / 15 min

2.71

57%

Takedown defense

67%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.84Δ 2.46 — meaningful gap+1.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Deiveson FigueiredoMontel Jackson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)Montel Jackson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -16.7|Blue +16.7

Recent Form

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Deiveson FigueiredoTargetMontel Jackson

By target zone

21% acc · 17%

Head

27% acc · 47%

82% acc · 39%

Body

88% acc · 23%

77% acc · 43%

Leg

82% acc · 30%

By position

52% acc · 96%

Distance

42% acc · 93%

Clinch

67% acc · 7%

100% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

even

Montel Jackson rounds

Round 1Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control1:08

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control1:10

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Montel Jackson edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:02Control

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 43

Sig Strikes

30 / 70

53.7%

Sig Str %

42.3%

23 / 44

Total Strikes

30 / 70

2 / 5

TDs

1 / 1

44.3%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:18

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Montel Jackson	8 / 20	8 / 20	0 / 0
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	8 / 13	8 / 14	1 / 3
2	Montel Jackson	14 / 32	14 / 32	0 / 0
2	Deiveson Figueiredo	7 / 16	7 / 16	1 / 1
3	Montel Jackson	8 / 18	8 / 18	1 / 1
3	Deiveson Figueiredo	8 / 14	8 / 14	0 / 1

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20

Montel Jackson

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights13