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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Deiveson Figueiredo won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1483

Elo1532

Deiveson FigueiredovsJoseph MoralesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · Saturday, February 3, 2018Belem, Para, Brazil

Official fight result

Deiveson Figueiredo won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:34

Style matchupDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grapplervsJoseph Morales: Submission grappler

Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.

Model Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo wins(78.5%)

Actual result: Deiveson Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Deiveson Figueiredo at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Deiveson Figueiredo has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Morales (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Deiveson Figueiredo

Red Corner

Joseph Morales

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1483

Elo

1532

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'5"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Joseph MoralesW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Roberto Sanchez · Aug 17

vs Eric Shelton · Nov 18

SUBvs Alibi Idiris · Aug 25

SUBvs Matt Schnell · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Deiveson FigueiredoMetricJoseph Morales

2.63

Strikes / min

2.00

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

2.05

49%

Strike defense

57%

1.61

TDs / 15 min

1.14

57%

Takedown defense

26%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

3.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.84evenly matched on net striking-0.05

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Deiveson FigueiredoJoseph Morales

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)Joseph Morales(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -49.1|Blue +49.1

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Deiveson FigueiredoTargetJoseph Morales

By target zone

49% acc · 81%

Head

21% acc · 56%

55% acc · 19%

Body

50% acc · 22%

Leg

50% acc · 22%

By position

41% acc · 35%

Distance

35% acc · 78%

Clinch

0% acc

57% acc · 65%

Ground

18% acc · 22%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

even

Joseph Morales rounds

Round 1Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control4:15

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control1:48

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 62

Sig Strikes

9 / 32

51%

Sig Str %

25.5%

44 / 76

Total Strikes

11 / 35

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:03

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joseph Morales	2 / 10	3 / 12	0 / 1	0
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	13 / 23	22 / 33	1 / 1	1
2	Joseph Morales	7 / 22	8 / 23	0 / 0	0
2	Deiveson Figueiredo	18 / 39	22 / 43	1 / 1	0

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20

Joseph Morales

StanceSwitch

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights5