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Flyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Deiveson Figueiredo won · SUB R1

Elo1483

Elo1397

Deiveson FigueiredovsJoseph BenavidezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · Saturday, July 18, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Deiveson Figueiredo won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:48

Style matchupDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grapplervsJoseph Benavidez: Elusive striker

The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.

Model Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo wins(62.1%)

Actual result: Deiveson Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Deiveson Figueiredo at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joseph Benavidez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Benavidez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Deiveson Figueiredo

Red Corner

Joseph Benavidez

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1483

Elo

1397

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'5"

Height

5'4"

172.72 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Joseph BenavidezL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alex Perez · Nov 18

vs Dustin Ortiz · Jan 19

KOvs Jussier Formiga · Jun 19

KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 20

vs Askar Askarov · Mar 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Deiveson FigueiredoMetricJoseph Benavidez

2.63

Strikes / min

3.52

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

2.67

49%

Strike defense

61%

1.61

TDs / 15 min

1.41

57%

Takedown defense

62%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.84Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap+0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Deiveson FigueiredoJoseph Benavidez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)Joseph Benavidez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +85.8|Blue -85.8

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Deiveson FigueiredoTargetJoseph Benavidez

By target zone

86% acc · 89%

Head

53% acc · 44%

100% acc · 11%

Body

71% acc · 28%

Leg

83% acc · 28%

By position

75% acc · 34%

Distance

64% acc · 100%

Clinch

96% acc · 66%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

even

Joseph Benavidez rounds

Round 1Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control2:23

Knockdowns2

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 40

Sig Strikes

18 / 28

87%

Sig Str %

64%

40 / 45

Total Strikes

22 / 33

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:23

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joseph Benavidez	18 / 28	22 / 33	0 / 0	0
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	35 / 40	40 / 45	0 / 0	4

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20

Joseph Benavidez

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights21