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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Deiveson Figueiredo won · S-DEC R3

Elo1483

Elo1491

Deiveson FigueiredovsJarred BrooksUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · Saturday, October 28, 2017Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Deiveson Figueiredo won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grapplervsJarred Brooks: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Jarred Brooks wins(81.3%)

Actual result: Deiveson Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jarred Brooks at -145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jarred Brooks has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Jarred Brooks (52.9%).
Deiveson Figueiredo has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Deiveson Figueiredo

Red Corner

Jarred Brooks

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-145

(59%)

1483

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'5"

Height

5'3"

172.72 cm

Reach

157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Jarred Brooks

oldest →

vs Eric Shelton · Jul 17

KOvs Jose Torres · Jun 18

DECvs Roberto Sanchez · Sep 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Deiveson FigueiredoMetricJarred Brooks

2.63

Strikes / min

2.12

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

1.66

49%

Strike defense

62%

1.61

TDs / 15 min

4.54

57%

Takedown defense

69%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.84Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap+0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Deiveson FigueiredoJarred Brooks

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)Jarred Brooks(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -8.5|Blue +8.5

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Deiveson FigueiredoTargetJarred Brooks

By target zone

29% acc · 47%

Head

57% acc · 87%

59% acc · 53%

Body

80% acc · 13%

Leg

0% acc

By position

30% acc · 63%

Distance

29% acc · 20%

88% acc · 37%

Clinch

70% acc · 23%

Ground

81% acc · 57%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

even

Jarred Brooks rounds

Round 1Jarred Brooks edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:28

16Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:40Control

Round 2Jarred Brooks edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control0:30

11Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:22Control

Round 3Jarred Brooks edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:08

3Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:26Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 48

Sig Strikes

30 / 52

39%

Sig Str %

53%

22 / 52

Total Strikes

82 / 112

1 / 4

TDs

7 / 11

16.5%

TD %

72%

Sub Att

Rev

1:06

Ctrl Time

7:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jarred Brooks	16 / 25	42 / 56	2 / 3	0
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	5 / 12	7 / 15	0 / 1	0
2	Jarred Brooks	11 / 16	30 / 37	2 / 2	0
2	Deiveson Figueiredo	5 / 17	5 / 17	1 / 3	2
3	Jarred Brooks	3 / 11	10 / 19	3 / 6	0
3	Deiveson Figueiredo	9 / 19	10 / 20	0 / 0	3

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20

Jarred Brooks

StanceSwitch

Height63.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights4