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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Deiveson Figueiredo won · SUB R2

Elo1483

Elo1487

Deiveson FigueiredovsCody GarbrandtUFC Prediction Result

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Saturday, April 13, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Deiveson Figueiredo won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:02

Style matchupDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grapplervsCody Garbrandt: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo wins(68.4%)

Actual result: Deiveson Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Garbrandt has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Deiveson Figueiredo

Red Corner

Cody Garbrandt

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1483

Elo

1487

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Cody Garbrandt

oldest →

vs Trevin Jones · Mar 23

KOvs Brian Kelleher · Dec 23

vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25

vs Xiao Long · Mar 26

KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Deiveson FigueiredoMetricCody Garbrandt

2.63

Strikes / min

2.79

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.66

49%

Strike defense

58%

1.61

TDs / 15 min

0.85

57%

Takedown defense

81%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.84evenly matched on net striking-0.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Deiveson FigueiredoCody Garbrandt

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.5|Blue +4.5

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Deiveson FigueiredoTargetCody Garbrandt

By target zone

64% acc · 69%

Head

32% acc · 38%

67% acc · 15%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 15%

Leg

91% acc · 63%

By position

62% acc · 62%

Distance

52% acc · 100%

67% acc · 15%

Clinch

100% acc · 23%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

even

Cody Garbrandt rounds

Round 1Cody Garbrandt edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:04

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control3:39

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 19

Sig Strikes

16 / 31

80%

Sig Str %

46.5%

21 / 27

Total Strikes

18 / 33

1 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:43

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cody Garbrandt	14 / 26	15 / 27	0 / 0	0
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	9 / 15	9 / 15	0 / 3	0
2	Cody Garbrandt	2 / 5	3 / 6	0 / 0	0
2	Deiveson Figueiredo	4 / 4	12 / 12	1 / 2	2

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20

Cody Garbrandt

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights18