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Flyweight

5 Rounds

Deiveson Figueiredo won · SUB

Elo1483

Elo1498

Deiveson FigueiredovsAlex PerezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Saturday, November 21, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Deiveson Figueiredo won

SUB

Style matchupDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grapplervsAlex Perez: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo wins(60.1%)

Actual result: Deiveson Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Deiveson Figueiredo at -286 American odds

+$35 profit

$135 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alex Perez has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Alex Perez has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Deiveson Figueiredo

Red Corner

Alex Perez

Blue Corner

-286

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+225

(31%)

1483

Elo

1498

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Alex Perez

oldest →

KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Apr 24

KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Jun 24

SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Nov 25

KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 26

vs Sumudaerji · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Deiveson FigueiredoMetricAlex Perez

2.63

Strikes / min

4.41

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.20

49%

Strike defense

59%

1.61

TDs / 15 min

2.21

57%

Takedown defense

75%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.84Δ 2.05 — meaningful gap+1.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Deiveson FigueiredoAlex Perez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)Alex Perez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -15.6|Blue +15.6

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Deiveson FigueiredoTargetAlex Perez

By target zone

50% acc · 40%

Head

33% acc · 50%

75% acc · 60%

Body

50% acc · 33%

Leg

100% acc · 17%

By position

63% acc · 100%

Distance

38% acc · 83%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

even

Alex Perez rounds

Round 1Alex Perez edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:37Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

5 / 8

Sig Strikes

6 / 14

62%

Sig Str %

42%

5 / 8

Total Strikes

6 / 14

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alex Perez	6 / 14	6 / 14	0 / 2	0
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	5 / 8	5 / 8	0 / 0	1

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20

Alex Perez

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights16