Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafaello Oliveira enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Rafaello Oliveira has 33pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Yoislandy Izquierdo has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yoislandy Izquierdo (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafaello OliveiraL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Andre Winner · Mar 10L
SUBvs Gleison Tibau · May 11L
KOvs Yves Edwards · Oct 11L
KOvs Edson Barboza · Jul 13 Yoislandy Izquierdo
oldest →L
SUBvs Reza Madadi · Apr 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rafaello OliveiraMetricYoislandy Izquierdo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.19Δ 2.72 — meaningful gap+1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rafaello OliveiraYoislandy Izquierdo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafaello Oliveira(6 fights)Yoislandy Izquierdo(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +196.0|Blue -196.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rafaello OliveiraTargetYoislandy Izquierdo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Rafaello Oliveira rounds
0
Yoislandy Izquierdo rounds
Round 1Rafaello Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control2:37
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Rafaello Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control4:15
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Rafaello Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control4:07
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
