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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mike Jackson won · DQ R1

Elo1494

Elo1496

Dean BarryvsMike JacksonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Saturday, April 23, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mike Jackson won

DQ · Round 1 · 3:52

Style matchupDean Barry: Pressure fightervsMike Jackson: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Dean Barry wins(54.3%)

Actual result: Mike Jackson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dean Barry at -800 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Jackson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Dean Barry

Red Corner

Mike Jackson

Blue Corner

-800

(89%)

Vegas Odds

+550

(15%)

1494

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'2"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dean BarryNo prior UFC fights on record.

Mike Jackson

oldest →

SUBvs Mickey Gall · Feb 16

vs CM Punk · Jun 18

KOvs Pete Rodriguez · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dean BarryMetricMike Jackson

9.31

Strikes / min

4.49

4.66

Strikes absorbed / min

3.73

51%

Strike defense

62%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.71

100%

Takedown defense

88%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+4.65Δ 3.89 — meaningful gap+0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dean BarryMike Jackson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dean Barry(1 fights)Mike Jackson(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dean BarryTargetMike Jackson

By target zone

32% acc · 69%

Head

43% acc · 72%

91% acc · 28%

Body

50% acc · 6%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

80% acc · 22%

By position

35% acc · 72%

Distance

49% acc · 100%

67% acc · 22%

Clinch

50% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dean Barry rounds

even

Mike Jackson rounds

Round 1Dean Barry edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:15

Knockdowns1

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 90

Sig Strikes

18 / 37

40%

Sig Str %

48%

39 / 93

Total Strikes

18 / 37

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mike Jackson	18 / 37	18 / 37	0 / 1	0
1	Dean Barry	36 / 90	39 / 93	0 / 0	0

Dean Barry

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights1

Mike Jackson

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4