Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marion Reneau enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marion Reneau has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Macy Chiasson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marion ReneauL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Feb 18L
vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20L
KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21 Macy ChiassonL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Pannie Kianzad · Mar 24W
KOvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jun 24L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marion ReneauMetricMacy Chiasson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.32evenly matched on net striking+0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marion ReneauMacy Chiasson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marion Reneau(10 fights)Macy Chiasson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -70.3|Blue +70.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marion ReneauTargetMacy Chiasson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:27
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Macy Chiasson edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control0:26
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:40Control
Round 3Macy Chiasson edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control1:22
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
