Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valter Walker enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Lukasz Brzeski enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Lukasz Brzeski has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Lukasz Brzeski has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Valter WalkerW5 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Junior Tafa · Aug 24W
SUBvs Don'Tale Mayes · Feb 25W
SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 25W
SUBvs Louie Sutherland · Oct 25W
SUBvs Thomas Petersen · Jul 26 Lukasz BrzeskiL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Karl Williams · Mar 23L
KOvs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Aug 23L
KOvs Mick Parkin · Jul 24L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Dec 24L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Valter WalkerMetricLukasz Brzeski
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.85Δ 2.10 — meaningful gap+1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Valter WalkerLukasz Brzeski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Valter Walker(6 fights)Lukasz Brzeski(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +107.3|Blue -107.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.7|Blue -49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Valter WalkerTargetLukasz Brzeski
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Valter Walker edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns2
Control3:16
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Lukasz Brzeski edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:58
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 3Valter Walker edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control3:05
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
