Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- JP Buys enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cody Durden has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Cody Durden has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cody Durden (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
JP BuysL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Mar 21L
vs Montel Jackson · Sep 21L
KOvs Marcus McGhee · Aug 23 Cody Durden
oldest →L
KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25L
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26W
DECvs Jafel Filho · Apr 26L
SUBvs Alessandro Costa · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
JP BuysMetricCody Durden
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.14evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
JP BuysCody Durden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
JP Buys(4 fights)Cody Durden(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +8.0|Blue -8.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +182.0|Blue -182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cody Durden edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
