Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Eddie Wineland has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Eddie Wineland has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad PickettL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Jul 15W
vs Francisco Rivera · Feb 16L
SUBvs Iuri Alcantara · Oct 16L
vs Urijah Faber · Dec 16L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 17 Eddie WinelandL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Alejandro Perez · Jul 18W
KOvs Grigorii Popov · Jun 19L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20L
KOvs John Castaneda · Feb 21L
KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad PickettMetricEddie Wineland
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.61Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brad PickettEddie Wineland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Pickett(10 fights)Eddie Wineland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -67.8|Blue +67.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -113.0|Blue +113.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brad PickettTargetEddie Wineland
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Eddie Wineland edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns0
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Eddie Wineland edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Eddie Wineland edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
