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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Mizuki won · U-DEC R3

Elo1519

Elo1476

MizukivsHannah GoldyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Saturday, September 23, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mizuki won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMizuki: Pressure fightervsHannah Goldy: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Mizuki wins(57.7%)

Actual result: Mizuki wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mizuki at -345 American odds

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mizuki has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Mizuki has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mizuki

Red Corner

Hannah Goldy

Blue Corner

-345

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+250

(29%)

1519

Elo

1476

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'4"

165.1 cm

Reach

154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mizuki

oldest →

vs Jaqueline Amorim · Oct 25

latest

Hannah Goldy

oldest →

vs Miranda Granger · Aug 19

vs Diana Belbita · Jul 21

SUBvs Emily Whitmire · Sep 21

KOvs Molly McCann · Jul 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

MizukiMetricHannah Goldy

4.45

Strikes / min

5.19

4.65

Strikes absorbed / min

4.67

49%

Strike defense

50%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

0.66

80%

Takedown defense

54%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.20evenly matched on net striking+0.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

MizukiHannah Goldy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mizuki(2 fights)Hannah Goldy(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +43.6|Blue -43.6

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.9|Blue -49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

MizukiTargetHannah Goldy

By target zone

43% acc · 56%

Head

23% acc · 21%

69% acc · 36%

Body

67% acc · 55%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

85% acc · 23%

By position

48% acc · 67%

Distance

36% acc · 43%

65% acc · 31%

Clinch

68% acc · 57%

50% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mizuki rounds

even

Hannah Goldy rounds

Round 1Mizuki edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control1:13

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control1:59

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:30Control

Round 3Mizuki edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:19

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

55 / 105

Sig Strikes

47 / 95

56.3%

Sig Str %

53.3%

83 / 140

Total Strikes

64 / 123

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 14

50%

TD %

6.7%

Sub Att

Rev

3:31

Ctrl Time

2:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Hannah Goldy	17 / 29	20 / 37	0 / 1
1	Mizuki	18 / 33	27 / 44	0 / 1
2	Hannah Goldy	6 / 10	13 / 21	1 / 5
2	Mizuki	6 / 9	15 / 22	1 / 1
3	Hannah Goldy	24 / 56	31 / 65	0 / 8
3	Mizuki	31 / 63	41 / 74	0 / 0

Mizuki

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights2

Hannah Goldy

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights5