Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Curtis Blaydes has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jailton Almeida has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Curtis Blaydes
oldest →W
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 22L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25L
DECvs Josh Hokit · Apr 26 Jailton AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Derrick Lewis · Nov 23W
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Jun 24W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Jan 25L
vs Alexander Volkov · Oct 25L
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Curtis BlaydesMetricJailton Almeida
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.42evenly matched on net striking+0.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Curtis BlaydesJailton Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)Jailton Almeida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -12.7|Blue +12.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +196.0|Blue -196.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Curtis BlaydesTargetJailton Almeida
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jailton Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:02
0Sig. strikes
9Takedowns
4:39Control
Round 2Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:07
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
