Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Tom Breese is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Brendan Allen has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Brendan Allen threatens submissions; Tom Breese has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Tom Breese has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Breese (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan AllenW3 streak
oldest →L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 25W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25W
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25W
DECvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 26 Tom Breese
oldest →W
vs Keita Nakamura · Feb 16L
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 16W
KOvs Daniel Kelly · May 18W
KOvs KB Bhullar · Oct 20L
SUBvs Omari Akhmedov · Jan 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan AllenMetricTom Breese
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.03evenly matched on net striking+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brendan AllenTom Breese
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Allen(10 fights)Tom Breese(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +57.5|Blue -57.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -509.0|Blue +509.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brendan AllenTargetTom Breese
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brendan Allen edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control4:13
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
