Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Johnny Case has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco Trevino
oldest →L
KOvs Sage Northcutt · Oct 15 Johnny CaseL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Kazuki Tokudome · Sep 14W
KOvs Frankie Perez · Jan 15L
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Mar 16L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Jun 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco TrevinoMetricJohnny Case
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.23Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Francisco TrevinoJohnny Case
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Trevino(3 fights)Johnny Case(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -5.3|Blue +5.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +309.0|Blue -309.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Francisco TrevinoTargetJohnny Case
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Francisco Trevino rounds
Round 1Johnny Case edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:14
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:03Control
Round 2Johnny Case edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:36
4Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:49Control
Round 3Johnny Case edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:27
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:38Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
