Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bethe Correia has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bethe CorreiaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Holly Holm · Jun 17L
SUBvs Irene Aldana · May 19W
vs Sijara Eubanks · Sep 19L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 20 Raquel Pennington
oldest →W
SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24L
vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bethe CorreiaMetricRaquel Pennington
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.56Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bethe CorreiaRaquel Pennington
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bethe Correia(10 fights)Raquel Pennington(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -95.6|Blue +95.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bethe CorreiaTargetRaquel Pennington
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Raquel Pennington rounds
Round 1Bethe Correia edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:27
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Raquel Pennington edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:39
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 3Raquel Pennington edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:59
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
