Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Lee enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- James Moontasri threatens submissions; Kevin Lee has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Kevin Lee has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors James Moontasri (52.9%).
- Kevin Lee has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin LeeL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · May 19W
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Nov 19L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Mar 20L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 21L
SUBvs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jul 23 James MoontasriL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Joe Ellenberger · Jun 14W
SUBvs Cody Pfister · Feb 15W
KOvs Anton Zafir · Nov 15L
vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin LeeMetricJames Moontasri
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.28Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kevin LeeJames Moontasri
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Lee(10 fights)James Moontasri(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +107.2|Blue -107.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kevin LeeTargetJames Moontasri
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kevin Lee edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control1:08
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
