Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Natalia Silva enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Natalia Silva has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Natalia Silva has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Natalia Silva (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Natalia SilvaW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Viviane Araujo · Feb 24W
vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 24W
vs Alexa Grasso · May 25W
vs Rose Namajunas · Jan 26 Victoria Leonardo
oldest →L
KOvs Manon Fiorot · Jan 21L
KOvs Melissa Gatto · Aug 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Natalia SilvaMetricVictoria Leonardo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.45Δ 4.04 — meaningful gap-1.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Natalia SilvaVictoria Leonardo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Natalia Silva(8 fights)Victoria Leonardo(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +61.4|Blue -61.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Natalia SilvaTargetVictoria Leonardo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Victoria Leonardo rounds
Round 1Natalia Silva edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:16
Knockdowns1
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
