Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Collier enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Chris Barnett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jake Collier has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jake Collier has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake CollierL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Carlos Felipe · Jun 21W
SUBvs Chase Sherman · Jan 22L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Apr 22L
vs Martin Buday · Apr 23L
vs Mohammed Usman · Sep 23 Chris BarnettL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Ben Rothwell · May 21W
KOvs Gian Villante · Nov 21L
vs Martin Buday · Apr 22L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Oct 24L
vs Hamdy Abdelwahab · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake CollierMetricChris Barnett
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72Δ 3.91 — meaningful gap-3.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jake CollierChris Barnett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Collier(10 fights)Chris Barnett(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -9.3|Blue +9.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jake CollierTargetChris Barnett
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jake Collier edged it
Sig. strikes42
Takedowns1
Control1:26
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Chris Barnett edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:03Control
