Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- James Krause has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- James Krause has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Gallicchio (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James Krause
oldest →W
KOvs Warlley Alves · Aug 18W
KOvs Sergio Moraes · Nov 19L
vs Trevin Giles · Feb 20W
vs Claudio Silva · Oct 20 Tom GallicchioNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James KrauseMetricTom Gallicchio
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.68Δ 4.22 — meaningful gap-3.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
James KrauseTom Gallicchio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James Krause(10 fights)Tom Gallicchio(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.2|Blue -2.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -46.8|Blue +46.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
James KrauseTargetTom Gallicchio
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1James Krause edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:01Control
Round 2James Krause edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3James Krause edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:09
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
