Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Pierce has 32pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Pierce has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Amilcar Alves (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike PierceL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Aaron Simpson · Oct 12W
vs Seth Baczynski · Dec 12W
KOvs David Mitchell · Jul 13L
SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Oct 13L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Dec 15 Amilcar Alves
oldest →L
vs Charlie Brenneman · Jan 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike PierceMetricAmilcar Alves
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap-1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike PierceAmilcar Alves
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Pierce(10 fights)Amilcar Alves(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.0|Blue -5.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.4|Blue +47.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mike PierceTargetAmilcar Alves
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mike Pierce edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns2
Control4:39
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Mike Pierce edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control4:42
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Mike Pierce edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control2:39
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
