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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Ricardo Ramos won · S-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1483

Josh CulibaovsRicardo RamosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · Saturday, August 17, 2024Perth, Western Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Ricardo Ramos won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJosh Culibao: Well-roundedvsRicardo Ramos: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ricardo Ramos wins(58.7%)

Actual result: Ricardo Ramos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricardo Ramos at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ricardo Ramos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Josh Culibao

Red Corner

Ricardo Ramos

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1491

Elo

1483

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Josh CulibaoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · May 21

vs SeungWoo Choi · Jun 22

SUBvs Melsik Baghdasaryan · Feb 23

vs Lerone Murphy · Jul 23

vs Danny Silva · Mar 24

latest

Ricardo RamosL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Danny Chavez · Jun 22

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Sep 23

SUBvs Julian Erosa · Mar 24

vs Chepe Mariscal · Mar 25

SUBvs Kaan Ofli · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Josh CulibaoMetricRicardo Ramos

3.41

Strikes / min

2.91

3.04

Strikes absorbed / min

3.97

59%

Strike defense

54%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.51

65%

Takedown defense

67%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.37Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap-1.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Josh CulibaoRicardo Ramos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Josh Culibao(6 fights)Ricardo Ramos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.5|Blue -8.5

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Josh CulibaoTargetRicardo Ramos

By target zone

44% acc · 57%

Head

17% acc · 59%

90% acc · 13%

Body

55% acc · 22%

81% acc · 30%

Leg

33% acc · 19%

By position

52% acc · 83%

Distance

22% acc · 93%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

100% acc · 7%

79% acc · 16%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Josh Culibao rounds

even

Ricardo Ramos rounds

Round 1Josh Culibao edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:02

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:41Control

Round 2Josh Culibao edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control1:28

Knockdowns1

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Josh Culibao edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:28Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

70 / 127

Sig Strikes

27 / 118

53%

Sig Str %

21%

92 / 150

Total Strikes

39 / 134

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:30

Ctrl Time

4:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ricardo Ramos	2 / 31	3 / 32	0 / 0	1
1	Josh Culibao	10 / 21	20 / 31	0 / 0	0
2	Ricardo Ramos	10 / 33	12 / 39	0 / 0	0
2	Josh Culibao	34 / 61	36 / 64	0 / 0	0
3	Ricardo Ramos	15 / 54	24 / 63	1 / 1	0
3	Josh Culibao	26 / 45	36 / 55	0 / 0	0

Josh Culibao

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6

Ricardo Ramos

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights15