Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25 Alexa Grasso
oldest →W
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 22W
SUBvs Valentina Shevchenko · Mar 23L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 24L
vs Natalia Silva · May 25W
KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karolina KowalkiewiczMetricAlexa Grasso
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Karolina KowalkiewiczAlexa Grasso
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)Alexa Grasso(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -29.0|Blue +29.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -315.0|Blue +315.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Karolina KowalkiewiczTargetAlexa Grasso
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz rounds
Round 1Alexa Grasso edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:03
42Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 2Alexa Grasso edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:27
49Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alexa Grasso edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:03
57Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
