Middleweight

3 Rounds

Cam Rowston won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1560

Elo1490

Cam RowstonvsCody BrundageUFC Prediction Result

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · Saturday, January 31, 2026Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Cam Rowston won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:08

Model Prediction: Cam Rowston wins(77.8%)

Actual result: Cam Rowston wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cam Rowston at -360 American odds

+$28 profit

$128 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Brundage has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Cam Rowston has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cam Rowston

Red Corner

Cody Brundage

Blue Corner

-360

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+290

(26%)

1560

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

198.12 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cam RowstonW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Andre Petroski · Sep 25

DECvs Robert Bryczek · May 26

latest

Cody Brundage

oldest →

KOvs Julian Marquez · Mar 25

vs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Jun 25

vs Eric McConico · Aug 25

vs Donte Johnson · Mar 26

KOvs Andre Petroski · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cam RowstonMetricCody Brundage

4.60

Strikes / min

2.26

2.12

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

52%

Strike defense

50%

1.34

TDs / 15 min

1.88

33%

Takedown defense

68%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.48Δ 3.24 — meaningful gap-0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cam RowstonCody Brundage

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cam Rowston(3 fights)Cody Brundage(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +70.6|Blue -70.6

Recent Form

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cam RowstonTargetCody Brundage

By target zone

43% acc · 72%

Head

38% acc · 76%

54% acc · 12%

Body

100% acc · 3%

90% acc · 16%

Leg

100% acc · 21%

By position

46% acc · 56%

Distance

44% acc · 93%

75% acc · 11%

Clinch

50% acc · 7%

46% acc · 33%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cam Rowston rounds

even

Cody Brundage rounds

Round 1Cam Rowston edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:11

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Round 2Cam Rowston edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control1:53

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 119

Sig Strikes

29 / 65

47%

Sig Str %

43%

73 / 139

Total Strikes

31 / 67

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:04

Ctrl Time

0:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Cody Brundage	20 / 43	21 / 44	0 / 0
1	Cam Rowston	23 / 54	23 / 54	0 / 0
2	Cody Brundage	9 / 22	10 / 23	0 / 1
2	Cam Rowston	34 / 65	50 / 85	0 / 0

Cam Rowston

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights2

Cody Brundage

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14