Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Frankie Edgar has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie EdgarL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 19L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 19W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 20L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Feb 21L
KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Nov 22 Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie EdgarMetricMarlon Vera
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.95Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap-1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Frankie EdgarMarlon Vera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Edgar(10 fights)Marlon Vera(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -33.9|Blue +33.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +133.0|Blue -133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Frankie EdgarTargetMarlon Vera
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Frankie Edgar edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns1
Control3:06
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control1:14
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Marlon Vera edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns1
Control0:05
Knockdowns0
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
