Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Koscheck enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Robbie Lawler (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh KoscheckL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Johny Hendricks · May 12L
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Nov 13L
SUBvs Jake Ellenberger · Feb 15L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Mar 15 Robbie Lawler
oldest →L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Aug 20L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22W
KOvs Niko Price · Jul 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh KoscheckMetricRobbie Lawler
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.48evenly matched on net striking-0.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Josh KoscheckRobbie Lawler
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Koscheck(9 fights)Robbie Lawler(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -144.7|Blue +144.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Josh KoscheckTargetRobbie Lawler
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Josh Koscheck edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control3:14
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
