Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jared Gooden is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Carlston Harris has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlston HarrisL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Feb 22W
SUBvs Jeremiah Wells · Aug 23L
KOvs Khaos Williams · May 24L
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 25L
DECvs Jake Matthews · May 26 Jared Gooden
oldest →L
vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Mar 21W
KOvs Niklas Stolze · Jul 21W
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Dec 23L
vs Chidi Njokuani · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlston HarrisMetricJared Gooden
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.33Δ 2.67 — meaningful gap-2.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Carlston HarrisJared Gooden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlston Harris(8 fights)Jared Gooden(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -19.0|Blue +19.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Carlston HarrisTargetJared Gooden
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns0
Control0:13
44Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Carlston Harris edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control4:44
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Carlston Harris edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns4
Control4:41
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
