Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Rosa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Darrick Minner enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Charles Rosa has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Darrick Minner has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Rosa (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles RosaL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Kevin Aguilar · Jun 20W
vs Justin Jaynes · Jun 21L
vs Damon Jackson · Oct 21L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 22 Darrick MinnerL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Grant Dawson · Feb 20W
SUBvs TJ Laramie · Sep 20L
KOvs Darren Elkins · Jul 21L
KOvs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Nov 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles RosaMetricDarrick Minner
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.78Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Charles RosaDarrick Minner
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Rosa(10 fights)Darrick Minner(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -9.3|Blue +9.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Charles RosaTargetDarrick Minner
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Darrick Minner edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:03Control
Round 2Darrick Minner edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:46Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Darrick Minner edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
