Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jessica-Rose Clark enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Paige VanZant threatens submissions; Jessica-Rose Clark has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Jessica-Rose Clark has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jessica-Rose Clark has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paige VanZant
oldest →L
SUBvs Rose Namajunas · Dec 15W
KOvs Bec Rawlings · Aug 16L
SUBvs Michelle Waterson · Dec 16W
SUBvs Rachael Ostovich · Jan 19L
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jul 20 Jessica-Rose ClarkL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Sarah Alpar · Sep 20W
vs Joselyne Edwards · Oct 21L
SUBvs Stephanie Egger · Feb 22L
SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 22L
SUBvs Tainara Lisboa · May 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paige VanZantMetricJessica-Rose Clark
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.73evenly matched on net striking+0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Paige VanZantJessica-Rose Clark
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paige VanZant(9 fights)Jessica-Rose Clark(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +32.7|Blue -32.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +3.1|Blue -3.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +336.0|Blue -336.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paige VanZantTargetJessica-Rose Clark
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Jessica-Rose Clark rounds
Round 1Jessica-Rose Clark edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:04
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:40Control
Round 2Paige VanZant edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control2:29
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:58Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
