Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Belal Muhammad has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Curtis Millender has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Curtis Millender
oldest →W
KOvs Thiago Alves · Feb 18W
vs Siyar Bahadurzada · Dec 18L
SUBvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 19 Belal MuhammadL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25L
DECvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Curtis MillenderMetricBelal Muhammad
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.91evenly matched on net striking+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Curtis MillenderBelal Muhammad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Curtis Millender(5 fights)Belal Muhammad(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -107.1|Blue +107.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Curtis MillenderTargetBelal Muhammad
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Curtis Millender edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:21Control
Round 2Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:06Control
Round 3Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:02
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:50Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
