Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Demetrious Johnson has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Demetrious Johnson has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demetrious Johnson
oldest →W
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Apr 16W
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Apr 17L
vs Henry Cejudo · Aug 18 Ray Borg
oldest →W
vs Jussier Formiga · Mar 17L
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 19W
vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19W
vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demetrious JohnsonMetricRay Borg
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.77Δ 2.18 — meaningful gap-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Demetrious JohnsonRay Borg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demetrious Johnson(10 fights)Ray Borg(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.6|Blue -2.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Demetrious JohnsonTargetRay Borg
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
5
Demetrious Johnson rounds
Round 1Demetrious Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control3:04
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2Demetrious Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control3:35
0Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:08Control
Round 3Demetrious Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control4:18
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Round 4Demetrious Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control4:01
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:38Control
Round 5Demetrious Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns3
Control2:49
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
