Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Andrei Arlovski has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Travis BrowneL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jan 16L
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Jul 16L
vs Fabricio Werdum · Sep 16L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 17L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 17 Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Travis BrowneMetricAndrei Arlovski
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.38Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Travis BrowneAndrei Arlovski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Travis Browne(10 fights)Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -131.4|Blue +131.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Travis BrowneTargetAndrei Arlovski
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Andrei Arlovski edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns1
51Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
