Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Chris Leben is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Aaron Simpson has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Aaron Simpson has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chris Leben (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris LebenL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Wanderlei Silva · Jul 11L
KOvs Mark Munoz · Nov 11L
vs Derek Brunson · Dec 12L
vs Andrew Craig · Jul 13L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Dec 13 Aaron Simpson
oldest →W
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 11W
vs Eric Schafer · Oct 11L
vs Ronny Markes · Feb 12W
vs Kenny Robertson · Jul 12L
KOvs Mike Pierce · Oct 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris LebenMetricAaron Simpson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)0.00Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap+1.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris LebenAaron Simpson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Leben(8 fights)Aaron Simpson(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -137.4|Blue +137.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris LebenTargetAaron Simpson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Aaron Simpson edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:40
26Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:44Control
Round 2Chris Leben edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:05
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:00Control
