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Lightweight
3 Rounds
David Teymur won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1491
David Teymur
Elo1490

David TeymurvsMartin SvenssonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · Saturday, February 27, 2016London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

David Teymur won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:26

Model Prediction: Martin Svensson wins(52.5%)

Actual result: David Teymur wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Martin Svensson at -105 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • David Teymur has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • David Teymur has 77pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

David Teymur
Red Corner
VS
Martin Svensson
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
1491
Elo
1490
37
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

David Teymur
oldest →
W
KOvs Jason Novelli · Aug 16
W
vs Lando Vannata · Mar 17
W
vs Drakkar Klose · Dec 17
W
vs Nik Lentz · Jun 18
L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Feb 19
latest
Martin SvenssonNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

David TeymurMetricMartin Svensson
4.69
Strikes / min
2.02
3.53
Strikes absorbed / min
5.91
55%
Strike defense
38%
0.94
TDs / 15 min
0.00
77%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.16Δ 5.05 — meaningful gap-3.89
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
David Teymur(6 fights)Martin Svensson(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

David TeymurTargetMartin Svensson

By target zone

15
44% acc · 39%
Head
3
14% acc · 23%
3
60% acc · 8%
Body
5
71% acc · 38%
20
87% acc · 53%
Leg
5
100% acc · 38%

By position

34
60% acc · 89%
Distance
12
38% acc · 92%
0
Clinch
0
0% acc
4
80% acc · 11%
Ground
1
100% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
David Teymur rounds
0
even
0
Martin Svensson rounds
Round 1David Teymur edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control0:24
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Round 2David Teymur edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
38 / 62
Sig Strikes
13 / 34
59%
Sig Str %
36.5%
41 / 65
Total Strikes
17 / 38
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 4
100%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:28
Ctrl Time
0:19

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Martin Svensson10 / 2514 / 290 / 30
1David Teymur28 / 4431 / 471 / 10
2Martin Svensson3 / 93 / 90 / 10
2David Teymur10 / 1810 / 180 / 00

David Teymur

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6

Martin Svensson

Stance
Height73.0"
Reach
Fights1