Featherweight

3 Rounds

David Onama won · SUB R2

Elo1513

Elo1493

David OnamavsGarrett ArmfieldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Saturday, July 9, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

David Onama won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:13

Style matchupDavid Onama: Pressure fightervsGarrett Armfield: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: David Onama wins(52.4%)

Actual result: David Onama wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

David Onama at -750 American odds

+$13 profit

$113 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

David Onama has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

David Onama

Red Corner

Garrett Armfield

Blue Corner

-750

(88%)

Vegas Odds

+550

(15%)

1513

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'6"

187.96 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

David Onama

oldest →

KOvs Gabriel Santos · Jun 23

vs Jonathan Pearce · Apr 24

vs Roberto Romero · Nov 24

vs Giga Chikadze · Apr 25

KOvs Steve Garcia · Nov 25

latest

Garrett ArmfieldL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Toshiomi Kazama · Aug 23

vs Brad Katona · Jan 24

SUBvs Brady Hiestand · Jun 24

vs Serhiy Sidey · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

David OnamaMetricGarrett Armfield

5.07

Strikes / min

5.35

4.89

Strikes absorbed / min

3.64

51%

Strike defense

56%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

1.10

52%

Takedown defense

64%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.18Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap+1.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

David OnamaGarrett Armfield

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

David Onama(9 fights)Garrett Armfield(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +19.5|Blue -19.5

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

David OnamaTargetGarrett Armfield

By target zone

29% acc · 55%

Head

25% acc · 71%

76% acc · 45%

Body

44% acc · 19%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

41% acc · 93%

Distance

29% acc · 95%

33% acc · 3%

Clinch

25% acc · 5%

33% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

David Onama rounds

even

Garrett Armfield rounds

Round 1David Onama edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control0:34

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:52Control

Round 2David Onama edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control2:01

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 72

Sig Strikes

21 / 72

39.5%

Sig Str %

31%

46 / 95

Total Strikes

29 / 83

2 / 6

TDs

0 / 2

37.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:35

Ctrl Time

1:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Garrett Armfield	12 / 48	20 / 59	0 / 0	0
1	David Onama	20 / 49	34 / 66	1 / 4	0
2	Garrett Armfield	9 / 24	9 / 24	0 / 2	0
2	David Onama	9 / 23	12 / 29	1 / 2	1

David Onama

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9

Garrett Armfield

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights5