Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Saimon Oliveira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- David Martinez has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- David Martinez has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Saimon Oliveira has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Saimon OliveiraL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Tony Gravely · Jan 22L
KOvs Daniel Marcos · Jan 23L
SUBvs Luan Lacerda · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
David MartinezMetricSaimon Oliveira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.92Δ 3.17 — meaningful gap-1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
David MartinezSaimon Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
David Martinez(3 fights)Saimon Oliveira(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +87.7|Blue -87.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.7|Blue -49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
David MartinezTargetSaimon Oliveira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1David Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:42
Knockdowns1
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
