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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Davi Ramos won · SUB R1
Elo1387
Davi Ramos
Elo1373
Nick Hein

Davi RamosvsNick HeinUFC Prediction Result

UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · Saturday, May 12, 2018Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Davi Ramos won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:15

Style matchupDavi Ramos: Well-roundedvsNick Hein: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Davi Ramos wins(65.9%)

Actual result: Davi Ramos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Davi Ramos at -185 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Nick Hein (53.5%).
  • Davi Ramos has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Davi Ramos
Red Corner
VS
Nick Hein
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
1387
Elo
1373
39
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Davi RamosL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Dec 17
W
SUBvs John Gunther · Nov 18
W
vs Austin Hubbard · May 19
L
vs Islam Makhachev · Sep 19
L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Jul 20
latest
Nick HeinL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Lukasz Sajewski · Jun 15
W
vs Yusuke Kasuya · Sep 15
W
vs Tae Hyun Bang · Sep 16
L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jul 18
L
KOvs Frank Camacho · Jun 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Davi RamosMetricNick Hein
2.64
Strikes / min
2.65
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.61
56%
Strike defense
59%
1.95
TDs / 15 min
0.86
83%
Takedown defense
83%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.80evenly matched on net striking-0.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1505 vs 1553Strikes45.0 vs 39.0Takedowns2.5 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form0.4 vs 0.8
Davi RamosNick Hein

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Davi Ramos(7 fights)Nick Hein(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +13.4|Blue -13.4
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -462.0|Blue +462.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Davi RamosTargetNick Hein

By target zone

5
56% acc · 83%
Head
1
17% acc · 100%
1
33% acc · 17%
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

5
45% acc · 83%
Distance
1
17% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
1
100% acc · 17%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Davi Ramos rounds
0
even
0
Nick Hein rounds
Round 1Davi Ramos edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control2:10
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
6 / 12
Sig Strikes
1 / 6
50%
Sig Str %
16%
13 / 21
Total Strikes
1 / 6
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:10
Ctrl Time
0:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Nick Hein1 / 61 / 60 / 00
1Davi Ramos6 / 1213 / 211 / 11

Davi Ramos

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7

Nick Hein

StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights8