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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Davi Ramos won · SUB R1

Elo1387

Elo1491

Davi RamosvsJohn GuntherUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, November 10, 2018Denver, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Davi Ramos won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:57

Style matchupDavi Ramos: Well-roundedvsJohn Gunther: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: John Gunther wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Davi Ramos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

John Gunther at +650 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Davi Ramos has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Davi Ramos has 83pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Davi Ramos

Red Corner

John Gunther

Blue Corner

-1000

(91%)

Vegas Odds

+650

(13%)

1387

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'9"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Davi RamosL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Dec 17

SUBvs Nick Hein · May 18

vs Austin Hubbard · May 19

vs Islam Makhachev · Sep 19

vs Arman Tsarukyan · Jul 20

latest

John Gunther

oldest →

vs Allan Zuniga · Jul 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Davi RamosMetricJohn Gunther

2.64

Strikes / min

1.65

3.44

Strikes absorbed / min

3.72

56%

Strike defense

46%

1.95

TDs / 15 min

7.08

83%

Takedown defense

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.80Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap-2.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Davi RamosJohn Gunther

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Davi Ramos(7 fights)John Gunther(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -104.6|Blue +104.6

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +55.0|Blue -55.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Davi RamosTargetJohn Gunther

By target zone

75% acc · 75%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 25%

Body

Leg

100% acc · 100%

By position

0% acc

Distance

33% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 100%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Davi Ramos rounds

even

John Gunther rounds

Round 1Davi Ramos edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control1:45

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 5

Sig Strikes

1 / 3

80%

Sig Str %

33%

4 / 5

Total Strikes

1 / 4

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:45

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	John Gunther	1 / 3	1 / 4	0 / 0	0
1	Davi Ramos	4 / 5	4 / 5	1 / 1	1

Davi Ramos

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7

John Gunther

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights2