← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Davi Ramos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1387

Elo1478

Davi RamosvsAustin HubbardUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · Saturday, May 18, 2019Rochester, New York, USA

Official fight result

Davi Ramos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDavi Ramos: Well-roundedvsAustin Hubbard: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Davi Ramos wins(75.6%)

Actual result: Davi Ramos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Davi Ramos at -550 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Davi Ramos has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Davi Ramos

Red Corner

Austin Hubbard

Blue Corner

-550

(85%)

Vegas Odds

+425

(19%)

1387

Elo

1478

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Davi RamosL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Dec 17

SUBvs Nick Hein · May 18

SUBvs John Gunther · Nov 18

vs Islam Makhachev · Sep 19

vs Arman Tsarukyan · Jul 20

latest

Austin HubbardL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · Aug 23

vs Michal Figlak · Apr 24

vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 24

vs MarQuel Mederos · Mar 25

vs Rongzhu · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Davi RamosMetricAustin Hubbard

2.64

Strikes / min

3.97

3.44

Strikes absorbed / min

4.10

56%

Strike defense

55%

1.95

TDs / 15 min

1.63

83%

Takedown defense

68%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.80evenly matched on net striking-0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Davi RamosAustin Hubbard

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Davi Ramos(7 fights)Austin Hubbard(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -91.0|Blue +91.0

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -48.2|Blue +48.2

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Davi RamosTargetAustin Hubbard

By target zone

51% acc · 70%

Head

26% acc · 43%

47% acc · 11%

Body

33% acc · 18%

92% acc · 19%

Leg

89% acc · 39%

By position

45% acc · 65%

Distance

36% acc · 91%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

67% acc · 5%

100% acc · 27%

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Davi Ramos rounds

even

Austin Hubbard rounds

Round 1Davi Ramos edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control0:30

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Davi Ramos edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control2:01

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Round 3Davi Ramos edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control1:34

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:30Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

63 / 114

Sig Strikes

44 / 116

55%

Sig Str %

38.3%

76 / 128

Total Strikes

46 / 119

3 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

58.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:05

Ctrl Time

0:49

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Austin Hubbard	13 / 42	13 / 42	0 / 0
1	Davi Ramos	20 / 42	23 / 46	1 / 2
2	Austin Hubbard	16 / 31	17 / 33	0 / 0
2	Davi Ramos	19 / 33	22 / 36	1 / 4
3	Austin Hubbard	15 / 43	16 / 44	0 / 0
3	Davi Ramos	24 / 39	31 / 46	1 / 1

Davi Ramos

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7

Austin Hubbard

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12