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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Arman Tsarukyan won · U-DEC R3
Elo1387
Davi Ramos
Elo1531
Arman Tsarukyan

Davi RamosvsArman TsarukyanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · Saturday, July 18, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Arman Tsarukyan won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDavi Ramos: Well-roundedvsArman Tsarukyan: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Arman Tsarukyan wins(52.0%)

Actual result: Arman Tsarukyan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Arman Tsarukyan at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Davi Ramos
Red Corner
VS
Arman Tsarukyan
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
1387
Elo
1531
39
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Davi Ramos
oldest →
W
SUBvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Dec 17
W
SUBvs Nick Hein · May 18
W
SUBvs John Gunther · Nov 18
W
vs Austin Hubbard · May 19
L
vs Islam Makhachev · Sep 19
latest
Arman TsarukyanW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Damir Ismagulov · Dec 22
W
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jun 23
W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Dec 23
W
vs Charles Oliveira · Apr 24
W
SUBvs Dan Hooker · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Davi RamosMetricArman Tsarukyan
2.64
Strikes / min
3.85
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
1.80
56%
Strike defense
54%
1.95
TDs / 15 min
3.26
83%
Takedown defense
75%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.80Δ 2.85 — meaningful gap+2.05

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1543 vs 1507Strikes2.7 vs 2.0Takedowns2.4 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.70 vs 0.00Form0.3 vs 0.2
Davi RamosArman Tsarukyan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901505152015351550← oldermost recent →
Davi Ramos(7 fights)Arman Tsarukyan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -144.2|Blue +144.2
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Davi RamosTargetArman Tsarukyan

By target zone

20
24% acc · 61%
Head
60
38% acc · 66%
10
56% acc · 30%
Body
13
68% acc · 14%
3
100% acc · 9%
Leg
18
100% acc · 20%

By position

29
32% acc · 88%
Distance
80
44% acc · 88%
4
57% acc · 12%
Clinch
6
86% acc · 7%
0
0% acc
Ground
5
63% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Davi Ramos rounds
0
even
3
Arman Tsarukyan rounds
Round 1Arman Tsarukyan edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:03
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:21Control
Round 2Arman Tsarukyan edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:08
34Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:12Control
Round 3Arman Tsarukyan edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:07
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
33 / 103
Sig Strikes
91 / 197
28.7%
Sig Str %
47.3%
49 / 122
Total Strikes
118 / 227
0 / 5
TDs
1 / 5
0%
TD %
12.5%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:18
Ctrl Time
3:08

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Arman Tsarukyan22 / 4044 / 650 / 00
1Davi Ramos3 / 186 / 230 / 20
2Arman Tsarukyan34 / 7436 / 761 / 40
2Davi Ramos15 / 3920 / 450 / 10
3Arman Tsarukyan35 / 8338 / 860 / 10
3Davi Ramos15 / 4623 / 540 / 20

Davi Ramos

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7

Arman Tsarukyan

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11