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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Davey Grant won · U-DEC R3
Elo1521
Elo1483

Davey GrantvsRamon TaverasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · Saturday, December 14, 2024Tampa, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Davey Grant won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDavey Grant: Pressure fightervsRamon Taveras: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Ramon Taveras wins(51.2%)

Actual result: Davey Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ramon Taveras at +102 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Ramon Taveras (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Davey Grant
Red Corner
VS
Ramon Taveras
Blue Corner
-122
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+102
(50%)
1521
Elo
1483
40
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Davey Grant
oldest →
W
SUBvs Raphael Assuncao · Mar 23
L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23
W
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25
W
DECvs Adrian Luna Martinetti · Apr 26
latest
Ramon Taveras
oldest →
W
vs Serhiy Sidey · Jan 24
L
vs Jack Jenkins · Sep 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Davey GrantMetricRamon Taveras
5.58
Strikes / min
4.07
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
6.45
54%
Strike defense
54%
0.95
TDs / 15 min
0.00
65%
Takedown defense
72%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.54Δ 3.92 — meaningful gap-2.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1510 vs 1516Strikes4.8 vs 4.6Takedowns1.3 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs 1.0
Davey GrantRamon Taveras

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Davey Grant(10 fights)Ramon Taveras(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +37.9|Blue -37.9
Recent Form
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +182.0|Blue -182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Davey GrantTargetRamon Taveras

By target zone

50
32% acc · 34%
Head
63
42% acc · 91%
42
63% acc · 29%
Body
5
83% acc · 7%
55
85% acc · 37%
Leg
1
100% acc · 1%

By position

147
51% acc · 100%
Distance
67
44% acc · 97%
0
Clinch
2
67% acc · 3%
0
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Davey Grant rounds
0
even
0
Ramon Taveras rounds
Round 1Davey Grant edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Davey Grant edged it
Sig. strikes45
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Davey Grant edged it
Sig. strikes63
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
147 / 290
Sig Strikes
69 / 156
50.7%
Sig Str %
43%
147 / 290
Total Strikes
69 / 156
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ramon Taveras12 / 3412 / 340 / 00
1Davey Grant39 / 7239 / 720 / 00
2Ramon Taveras25 / 4925 / 490 / 00
2Davey Grant45 / 8945 / 890 / 10
3Ramon Taveras32 / 7332 / 730 / 00
3Davey Grant63 / 12963 / 1290 / 00

Davey Grant

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights16

Ramon Taveras

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3