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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Davey Grant won · U-DEC R3

Elo1521

Elo1475

Davey GrantvsMarlon VeraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · Saturday, February 27, 2016London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Davey Grant won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDavey Grant: Pressure fightervsMarlon Vera: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Marlon Vera wins(69.1%)

Actual result: Davey Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marlon Vera at +160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Davey Grant

Red Corner

Marlon Vera

Blue Corner

-185

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1521

Elo

1475

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Davey Grant

oldest →

vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23

vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24

vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25

DECvs Adrian Luna Martinetti · Apr 26

latest

Marlon VeraL4 streak

oldest →

vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23

vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25

vs David Martinez · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Davey GrantMetricMarlon Vera

5.58

Strikes / min

4.18

4.04

Strikes absorbed / min

5.34

54%

Strike defense

50%

0.95

TDs / 15 min

0.47

65%

Takedown defense

71%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.54Δ 2.70 — meaningful gap-1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Davey GrantMarlon Vera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Davey Grant(10 fights)Marlon Vera(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +46.0|Blue -46.0

Recent Form

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Layoff

Red +616.0|Blue -616.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Davey GrantTargetMarlon Vera

By target zone

61% acc · 64%

Head

20% acc · 39%

78% acc · 19%

Body

68% acc · 57%

80% acc · 17%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

57% acc · 46%

Distance

27% acc · 57%

73% acc · 22%

Clinch

75% acc · 26%

79% acc · 32%

Ground

40% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Davey Grant rounds

even

Marlon Vera rounds

Round 1Davey Grant edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control2:04

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:22Control

Round 2Davey Grant edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns1

Control3:10

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Davey Grant edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control3:23

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

72 / 109

Sig Strikes

23 / 66

66.3%

Sig Str %

35.7%

112 / 154

Total Strikes

28 / 72

1 / 5

TDs

1 / 6

16.7%

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

8:37

Ctrl Time

1:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Marlon Vera	6 / 17	7 / 18	1 / 2
1	Davey Grant	22 / 29	29 / 37	0 / 1
2	Marlon Vera	9 / 20	11 / 23	0 / 2
2	Davey Grant	32 / 50	49 / 69	1 / 2
3	Marlon Vera	8 / 29	10 / 31	0 / 2
3	Davey Grant	18 / 30	34 / 48	0 / 2

Davey Grant

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights16

Marlon Vera

StanceSwitch

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights26