Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Manny Bermudez won · SUB R1
Elo1521
Elo1377

Davey GrantvsManny BermudezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · Sunday, July 22, 2018Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

Official fight result

Manny Bermudez won

SUB · Round 1 · 0:59

Style matchupDavey Grant: Pressure fightervsManny Bermudez: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Manny Bermudez wins(56.3%)

Actual result: Manny Bermudez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Manny Bermudez at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Manny Bermudez threatens submissions; Davey Grant has lost 57% of fights by sub.
  • Davey Grant has 65pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Davey Grant
Red Corner
VS
Manny Bermudez
Blue Corner
+260
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
1521
Elo
1377
40
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Davey Grant
oldest →
L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23
W
vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24
W
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25
W
DECvs Adrian Luna Martinetti · Apr 26
latest
Manny BermudezL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Albert Morales · Feb 18
W
SUBvs Benito Lopez · Feb 19
L
vs Casey Kenney · Aug 19
L
SUBvs Charles Rosa · Oct 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Davey GrantMetricManny Bermudez
5.58
Strikes / min
2.92
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
2.68
54%
Strike defense
46%
0.95
TDs / 15 min
3.06
65%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
3.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.54Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap+0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1515Strikes42.0 vs 12.0Takedowns1.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 3.00Form-0.3 vs 1.0
Davey GrantManny Bermudez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Davey Grant(10 fights)Manny Bermudez(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +143.5|Blue -143.5
Recent Form
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +504.0|Blue -504.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Davey GrantTargetManny Bermudez

By target zone

1
50% acc · 25%
Head
3
60% acc · 100%
0
0% acc
Body
0
3
100% acc · 75%
Leg
0

By position

4
67% acc · 100%
Distance
2
50% acc · 67%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
1
100% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Davey Grant rounds
0
even
1
Manny Bermudez rounds
Round 1Manny Bermudez edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:17
Knockdowns0
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
4 / 6
Sig Strikes
3 / 5
66%
Sig Str %
60%
4 / 6
Total Strikes
3 / 5
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
2
0
Rev
0
0:17
Ctrl Time
0:21

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Manny Bermudez3 / 53 / 50 / 02
1Davey Grant4 / 64 / 60 / 00

Davey Grant

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights16

Manny Bermudez

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5