Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Davey Grant won · U-DEC R3

Elo1521

Elo1510

Davey GrantvsDa'Mon BlackshearUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · Saturday, July 26, 2025Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Davey Grant won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDavey Grant: Pressure fightervsDa'Mon Blackshear: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Da'Mon Blackshear wins(59.6%)

Actual result: Davey Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Da'Mon Blackshear at -390 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Da'Mon Blackshear enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Da'Mon Blackshear threatens submissions; Davey Grant has lost 57% of fights by sub.
Stance matchup historically favors Da'Mon Blackshear (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Davey Grant

Red Corner

Da'Mon Blackshear

Blue Corner

+310

(24%)

Vegas Odds

-390

(80%)

1521

Elo

1510

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

5'10"

175.26 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Davey Grant

oldest →

SUBvs Raphael Assuncao · Mar 23

vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23

vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25

DECvs Adrian Luna Martinetti · Apr 26

latest

Da'Mon BlackshearW3 streak

oldest →

vs Mario Bautista · Aug 23

KOvs Montel Jackson · Jul 24

SUBvs Cody Stamann · Nov 24

SUBvs Cody Gibson · Mar 25

vs Alatengheili · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Davey GrantMetricDa'Mon Blackshear

5.58

Strikes / min

4.33

4.04

Strikes absorbed / min

4.19

54%

Strike defense

52%

0.95

TDs / 15 min

1.48

65%

Takedown defense

71%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.54Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap+0.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Davey GrantDa'Mon Blackshear

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Davey Grant(10 fights)Da'Mon Blackshear(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.1|Blue -10.1

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +133.0|Blue -133.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Davey GrantTargetDa'Mon Blackshear

By target zone

25% acc · 26%

Head

27% acc · 36%

69% acc · 41%

Body

54% acc · 21%

92% acc · 33%

Leg

88% acc · 42%

By position

51% acc · 98%

Distance

43% acc · 94%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

0% acc

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Davey Grant rounds

even

Da'Mon Blackshear rounds

Round 1Da'Mon Blackshear edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:19

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:52Control

Round 2Davey Grant edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Davey Grant edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

66 / 130

Sig Strikes

33 / 74

53.3%

Sig Str %

46%

66 / 133

Total Strikes

36 / 78

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 5

—

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:19

Ctrl Time

3:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Da'Mon Blackshear	2 / 4	4 / 7	1 / 1	1
1	Davey Grant	3 / 5	3 / 8	0 / 0	0
2	Da'Mon Blackshear	17 / 33	18 / 34	0 / 1	0
2	Davey Grant	29 / 57	29 / 57	0 / 0	0
3	Da'Mon Blackshear	14 / 37	14 / 37	0 / 3	0
3	Davey Grant	34 / 68	34 / 68	0 / 0	0

Davey Grant

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights16

Da'Mon Blackshear

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9