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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Adrian Yanez won · S-DEC R3
Elo1521
Elo1521

Davey GrantvsAdrian YanezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Saturday, November 20, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Adrian Yanez won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDavey Grant: Pressure fightervsAdrian Yanez: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Adrian Yanez wins(71.4%)

Actual result: Adrian Yanez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Adrian Yanez at -280 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Davey Grant
Red Corner
VS
Adrian Yanez
Blue Corner
+225
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
1521
Elo
1521
40
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Davey Grant
oldest →
L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23
W
vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24
W
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25
W
DECvs Adrian Luna Martinetti · Apr 26
latest
Adrian Yanez
oldest →
L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 23
W
KOvs Vinicius Salvador · May 24
L
vs Daniel Marcos · Dec 24
D
vs Ricky Simon · Mar 26
W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Davey GrantMetricAdrian Yanez
5.58
Strikes / min
5.96
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
5.24
54%
Strike defense
56%
0.95
TDs / 15 min
0.00
65%
Takedown defense
75%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.54evenly matched on net striking+0.72

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1506 vs 1547Strikes4.8 vs 6.5Takedowns1.3 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs 1.0
Davey GrantAdrian Yanez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Davey Grant(10 fights)Adrian Yanez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Davey Grant

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights16

Adrian Yanez

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11