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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Davey Grant won · Decision R3
Elo1521
Elo1480

Davey GrantvsAdrian Luna MartinettiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Saturday, April 25, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Davey Grant won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDavey Grant: Pressure fightervsAdrian Luna Martinetti: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Davey Grant wins(61.9%)

Actual result: Davey Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Adrian Luna Martinetti has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Davey Grant
Red Corner
VS
Adrian Luna Martinetti
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1521
Elo
1480
40
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Davey Grant
oldest →
W
SUBvs Raphael Assuncao · Mar 23
L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23
W
vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24
W
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25
latest
Adrian Luna MartinettiNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Davey GrantMetricAdrian Luna Martinetti
5.58
Strikes / min
8.80
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
9.30
54%
Strike defense
47%
0.95
TDs / 15 min
2.00
65%
Takedown defense
100%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.54Δ 2.04 — meaningful gap-0.50
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601480150015201540← oldermost recent →
Davey Grant(10 fights)Adrian Luna Martinetti(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +40.9|Blue -40.9
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Grappler Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Davey Grant

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights16

Adrian Luna Martinetti

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1