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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Dave Herman won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1352

Elo1351

Dave HermanvsJon Olav EinemoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · Saturday, June 11, 2011Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Dave Herman won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:19

Model Prediction: Jon Olav Einemo wins(53.1%)

Actual result: Dave Herman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jon Olav Einemo at +133 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dave Herman enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Dave Herman is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jon Olav Einemo has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Dave Herman has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Jon Olav Einemo has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dave Herman

Red Corner

Jon Olav Einemo

Blue Corner

-143

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+133

(43%)

1352

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'6"

195.58 cm

Reach

206 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dave HermanL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Stefan Struve · Feb 12

KOvs Roy Nelson · May 12

SUBvs Minotauro Nogueira · Oct 12

KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Jul 13

latest

Jon Olav Einemo

oldest →

vs Mike Russow · Jan 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dave HermanMetricJon Olav Einemo

4.98

Strikes / min

2.15

3.78

Strikes absorbed / min

3.05

48%

Strike defense

52%

1.49

TDs / 15 min

1.73

58%

Takedown defense

43%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.20Δ 2.10 — meaningful gap-0.90

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dave Herman(5 fights)Jon Olav Einemo(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dave HermanTargetJon Olav Einemo

By target zone

47% acc · 60%

Head

45% acc · 82%

92% acc · 20%

Body

67% acc · 12%

79% acc · 20%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

53% acc · 49%

Distance

42% acc · 68%

59% acc · 24%

Clinch

73% acc · 32%

65% acc · 27%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dave Herman rounds

even

Jon Olav Einemo rounds

Round 1Dave Herman edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:40Control

Round 2Dave Herman edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:44

Knockdowns1

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

55 / 96

Sig Strikes

34 / 70

56%

Sig Str %

47.5%

60 / 101

Total Strikes

36 / 74

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 4

100%

TD %

16.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:44

Ctrl Time

1:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jon Olav Einemo	12 / 33	13 / 35	1 / 3
1	Dave Herman	21 / 42	23 / 44	1 / 1
2	Jon Olav Einemo	22 / 37	23 / 39	0 / 1
2	Dave Herman	34 / 54	37 / 57	0 / 0

Dave Herman

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights5

Jon Olav Einemo

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach—

Fights2