← All fights/Event page

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Darrick Minner won · SUB

Elo1440

Elo1422

Darrick MinnervsTJ LaramieUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Saturday, September 19, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Darrick Minner won

SUB

Model Prediction: TJ Laramie wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Darrick Minner wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

TJ Laramie at -335 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Darrick Minner enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Darrick Minner threatens submissions; TJ Laramie has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Darrick Minner has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Darrick Minner

Red Corner

TJ Laramie

Blue Corner

+245

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-335

(77%)

1440

Elo

1422

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

175.26 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Darrick MinnerL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Grant Dawson · Feb 20

vs Charles Rosa · Feb 21

KOvs Darren Elkins · Jul 21

vs Ryan Hall · Dec 21

KOvs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Nov 22

latest

TJ Laramie

oldest →

vs Pat Sabatini · Apr 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Darrick MinnerMetricTJ Laramie

2.63

Strikes / min

1.49

2.28

Strikes absorbed / min

2.64

35%

Strike defense

38%

2.40

TDs / 15 min

1.44

66%

Takedown defense

40%

2.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.35Δ 1.50 — meaningful gap-1.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Darrick MinnerTJ Laramie

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Darrick Minner(6 fights)TJ Laramie(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +17.2|Blue -17.2

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Darrick MinnerTargetTJ Laramie

By target zone

33% acc · 7%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 87%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 7%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 13%

Distance

0% acc

100% acc · 87%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Darrick Minner rounds

even

TJ Laramie rounds

Round 1Darrick Minner edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:07

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 17

Sig Strikes

0 / 4

88%

Sig Str %

18 / 20

Total Strikes

0 / 4

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:07

Ctrl Time

0:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	TJ Laramie	0 / 4	0 / 4	0 / 1	0
1	Darrick Minner	15 / 17	18 / 20	0 / 0	1

Darrick Minner

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

TJ Laramie

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights2